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ГОТОВЫЕ ИССЛЕДОВАНИЯ

Продовольствие/ пищевая промышленность


Ukrainian Sugar: Dakor

География исследования: Украина
Количество страниц: 34
Стоимость, руб.: 29 900
Способ предоставления: электронный

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Аннотация
Major Ukrainian sugar producer, Dakor is in a solid position to expand its share of the market in the midst of industry consolidation, which will be the name of the game for the next few years. In April 2007 the company first tapped the equity market, floating 20% of its shares. This year, Dakor is planning to invest net proceeds of USD 17.5 mln into modernization of its production facilities and a 14% increase of their daily capacities. We estimate Dakor's 12M target price at USD __ per share, a __ upside to the current market price.
Содержание отчёта
  • 1. Investment Case
    On-going vertical integration to reduce production costs.
    Investing in production efficiency.
    Ready for raw cane sugar imports.
    IPO plans.

    2. Ukraine's Sugar Market

    2.1 Market Capacity
    Demand supported by stable domestic consumption
    Industrial consumption outpaces the population's intake
    Bioethanol as a potential demand driver

    2.2 Players
    Consolidation - the future of Ukraine's sugar industry
    Large producers increase lobbying power

    2.3 Industry Specifics: Seasonality

    2.4 Regulation
    New quota system to benefit large producers
    Small players ousted from the market by sugar price floor
    Tax and interest privileges in effect until 2010
    Agricultural land expected to become tradable in 2009
    Prohibitive import tariffs to stay

    2.5 Playing by WTO Rules
    Accession terms favorable for Ukraine
    Sugar producers to partially switch to raw cane sugar feedstock
    Inefficient beet producers will decrease beet supplies

    2.6 Price & Volume Outlook

    3. Company Overview

    3.1 Strategy
    Further vertical integration
    Improving efficiency of sugar beet production
    Energy saving measures
    Product mix expansion
    IPO plans

    3.2 Profile
    Business Development
    Market share to double by 2010
    Capacities ensure room for production growth
    Raw cane sugar as an alternative feedstock
    Land acquisition continues
    Gas-saving technologies to be introduced starting from 2007
    Customers to become more diversified
    Bioethanol production to diversify business portfolio

    3.3 Legal Structure

    4. Financial Analysis
    Sales
    Profitability
    Financial Debt

    5. Risks
    Major Risks Faced by Dakor

    6. Valuation
    Valuation Summary
    Model Assumptions

    7. Financial statements*

  • CHARTS

    Ukrainian sugar demand & production of beet sugar
    Industrial vs. population's consumption of sugar
    Breakdown of industrial sugar consumption, 2005
    Production of confectionaries, ths mt
    Ukraine's sugar market structure by production, 2006
    Sugar production industry structure: Ukraine vs. World
    Poland: Sugar mills vs. Processing period duration
    Daily capacities, ths mt of beets
    Distribution of mills by days in operation in 2006
    In-house beets supplies of the largest sugar producers in 2006*
    Sugar prices in Ukraine, USD/mt
    Dakor's business structure
    Dakor's sugar sales and net revenue
    Dakor's sugar production costs breakdown, 2006
    Improvement of Beet Production Efficiency
    Dakor's sugar production by source of input, %
    Production costs of beet sugar vs raw cane sugar processing*
    Dakor's land under lease, ths ha
    Consumer base, 2006
    Sales structure, 2006
    Dakor's structure*
    Dakor revenue breakdown, 2005 and 2006, %
    Implied MCap, USD mln


    TABLES

    Market data
    12M target
    Ownership
    Ratios 2006
    Key financials, USD mln
    Ukrainian sugar balance, ths mt
    Processing capacities, mt of beets per day
    CapEx: Major expenditures planned for 2007
    Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
    Sensitivity Analysis: Equity Value, USD mln
    Sensitivity Analysis: Equity Value, USD mln
    Peer Valuation
    Income Statement Summary, USD mln
    Balance Sheet Summary, USD mln
    Cash Flow Statement Summary, USD mln

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